1 Aug · 01:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1492
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamus
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1481
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Schaniel🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H15-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.