1 Aug · 01:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1387
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skorski
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1306
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Fabis covers set handicap as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+81
H2H49-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)