1 Aug · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1333
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wiza
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1268
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H83-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (83-66)