1 Aug · 05:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1399
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fira
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1337
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H46-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)