1 Aug · 05:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1462
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1398
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruszkiewicz🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~82 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H16-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-14)