1 Aug · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1386
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wrobel
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1323
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H17-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)