1 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1452
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Woskowicz
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1491
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.33· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.