1 Aug · 06:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1481
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1529
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H12-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)