1 Aug · 05:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1286
FormLWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1411
FormLLLWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H25-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-13)