1 Aug · 05:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1432
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maruszak
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1452
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Maruszak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.