1 Aug · 05:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1406
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kaczmarek
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1320
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Kaczmarek goes over total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 43% · 2.30· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)