1 Aug · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1490
FormWLLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Baron
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1315
FormLLLLL
69%
31%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (46)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)