1 Aug · 06:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1425
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Piotrowski
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1422
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.