1 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1369
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1406
FormWLLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.