1 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1469
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mleczko
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1467
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.