1 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1413
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (46)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H17-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)