1 Aug · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1397
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wrobel
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1302
FormWWLWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Poloszczanski🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H27-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-9)