1 Aug · 08:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1641
FormWLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Lach
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1427
FormLLWWL
72%
28%
🌟Lach covers set handicap as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Lach
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+214
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+214)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)