1 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1406
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sinicki
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1321
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)