1 Aug · 07:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1504
FormLWWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Morawiec
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1268
FormWLWWL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+236
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+236)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)