1 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1469
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mleczko
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1418
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)