1 Aug · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1501
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Morawiec
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1460
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.