1 Aug · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1330
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rolak
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1298
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H52-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.