1 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1460
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.