1 Aug · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1481
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1570
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)