1 Aug · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1388
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wozniak
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1444
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)