01 Aug · 09:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1265
3-2Final setsOgon won
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1457
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Jesiek at 74%. The actual result was Rafal Ogon 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jakub Jesiek favoured — closing 1.2
Total 72.5
92 points played
Set handicap
Jakub Jesiek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jakub Jesiek −8.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Ogon is favoured to win, below means Jakub Jesiek.
▲ Rafal Ogonpre 21% → final 42%
Jakub Jesiek ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsJesiek recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games