1 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Woskowicz
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1438
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 45% · 2.20· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)