1 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1366
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Przewlocki
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1359
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.