1 Aug · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mateusz Baran
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1576
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)