1 Aug · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kosmal
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1578
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.