1 Aug · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1619
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mitas
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Mitas
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.