1 Aug · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1238
FormLLWLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
19%
81%
🌟Kocik stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+332
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+332)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)