1 Aug · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mateusz Baran
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Baran
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1238
FormLLWLL
79%
21%
Fair odds · Baran
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+296
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+296)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)