1 Aug · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1303
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1359
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H21-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-13)