1 Aug · 14:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1319
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rolak
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1318
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H52-66
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.