1 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1459
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Woskowicz
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1486
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.