1 Aug · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1491
FormWLLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Gesiarz
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1238
FormLLWLL
75%
25%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+253
H2H22-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-12)