1 Aug · 20:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1544
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Kocik stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.