1 Aug · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1544
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1576
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H23-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.