1 Aug · 23:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1238
FormLLWLL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Baran
MB
🇵🇱Mateusz Baran
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Baran
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+296
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+296)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)