1 Aug · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Morawiec
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1441
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)