1 Aug · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1309
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kwodawski
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1371
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kwodawski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)