1 Aug · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1424
FormLWLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1629
FormWLWLL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)