1 Aug · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1488
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Woskowicz
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1404
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)