1 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇵🇱Mateusz Baran
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kocik stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.