1 Aug · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1238
FormLLWLL
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1576
FormWLWWL
18%
82%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~74 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+338
H2H12-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+338)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-0)