1 Aug · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1629
FormWLWLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)