1 Aug · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1302
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Guminski
KG
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1356
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Guminski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)