1 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1388
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maruszak
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1454
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Maruszak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)